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The agent writes the code, runs the numbers, and offers advice, but the expert decides what to measure, how to interpret ambiguous evidence, and what the next steps should be. Often there is more than one reasonable answer to these questions, and the decision will come down to the experience and values of whoever makes the call. We wanted to look at whether experts really do make those important decisions, or whether in practice they defer to their AI agents. In a study we report in a new paper , we asked 50 professional analysts to do a realistic statistical analysis with Claude Code. They all had experience in causal inference—that is, working out from data whether one thing causes another. Their task was to advise a farming cooperative on whether an advisory service it was running was effective and should be expanded. Along the way, the analysts had to make four choices between two reasonable options, such as whether..."},"evidence_pages":[{"is_primary":false,"source_match":false,"url":"https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/519c17a5d23a794e8b6d50a854048d0b61e0d73a.pdf","final_url":"https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/519c17a5d23a794e8b6d50a854048d0b61e0d73a.pdf","title":"Agents Judgment Calls","http_status":200,"content_type":"application/pdf","capture_method":"firecrawl","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T20:03:02.274+00:00","bytes":879555,"raw_path":"56281a4fb40d9f880bea3349b984aaf85f59716d43157d00f2187961e8964fdd.pdf","content_hash":"ab13c3f167809608f18da3017051b6a1b28b8ed5442de1d1c4dbf10ebc760b06","excerpt_chars":1200,"truncated":true,"excerpt":"Who’s Aligned to Whom? How AI Agents Shape Experts’ Research Judgment Calls Amaç Herdağdelen Anthropic Fellows Program [amac@herdagdelen.com](mailto:amac@herdagdelen.com) Hailey Joren Anthropic [haileyj@anthropic.com](mailto:haileyj@anthropic.com) Alex Tamkin Anthropic [atamkin@anthropic.com](mailto:atamkin@anthropic.com) Abstract As AI systems become more capable at tasks with verifiable answers, experts’ role in knowledge work is shifting to judgment calls, such as which analytical approach to take, how to interpret ambiguous evidence, and what options to recommend to decision-makers. If experts already defer to AI on these calls, perhaps without knowing it, AI priors will settle consequential decisions in science and policy, including in the research meant to keep AI safe and aligned. To test whether experts defer, we ran a randomized trial in which 50 causal-inference practitioners analyzed observational data with an AI coding agent and delivered a policy recommendation. On four analytical decisions and the final recommendation, a coin flip set which of two defensible options the participant’s agent would lean toward. Participants did not know the agent was assigned a lean,..."}],"related_signals":[{"id":"fc30becf-acec-41fd-adf5-b3356a8f1622","url":"https://onlylabs.fyi/signals/fc30becf-acec-41fd-adf5-b3356a8f1622","source_url":"https://www.anthropic.com/research/claude-discovers-novel-enzyme-system","title":"Claude Discovers Novel Enzyme System","context":null,"kind":{"key":"post_published","label":"Writing"},"org":{"slug":"anthropic","name":"Anthropic","category":"frontier-lab"},"occurred_at":"2026-10-28T04:28:01+00:00","first_seen_at":"2026-10-21T00:00:50.790103+00:00","date_source":"sitemap.lastmod"},{"id":"8fe8c5b5-5c4d-4311-831f-cdcc1ae63a83","url":"https://onlylabs.fyi/signals/8fe8c5b5-5c4d-4311-831f-cdcc1ae63a83","source_url":"https://www.anthropic.com/news/expanding-partnership-gsa","title":"Expanding Partnership Gsa","context":null,"kind":{"key":"post_published","label":"Writing"},"org":{"slug":"anthropic","name":"Anthropic","category":"frontier-lab"},"occurred_at":"2026-10-27T22:21:46+00:00","first_seen_at":"2026-10-28T00:00:49.341289+00:00","date_source":"sitemap.lastmod"},{"id":"fcd9bec3-59c4-4369-abaa-fe1cdcdf27a6","url":"https://onlylabs.fyi/signals/fcd9bec3-59c4-4369-abaa-fe1cdcdf27a6","source_url":"https://www.anthropic.com/news/s1-sec","title":"S1 Sec","context":null,"kind":{"key":"post_published","label":"Writing"},"org":{"slug":"anthropic","name":"Anthropic","category":"frontier-lab"},"occurred_at":"2026-10-27T21:40:46+00:00","first_seen_at":"2026-10-26T16:00:49.313123+00:00","date_source":"sitemap.lastmod"},{"id":"72d48371-e244-4516-951f-4e8caa6c72fe","url":"https://onlylabs.fyi/signals/72d48371-e244-4516-951f-4e8caa6c72fe","source_url":"https://www.anthropic.com/research/early-progress-drug-development","title":"Early Progress Drug Development","context":null,"kind":{"key":"post_published","label":"Writing"},"org":{"slug":"anthropic","name":"Anthropic","category":"frontier-lab"},"occurred_at":"2026-10-27T20:26:09+00:00","first_seen_at":"2026-10-28T00:00:49.341289+00:00","date_source":"sitemap.lastmod"},{"id":"8985d414-e798-47ae-afa7-6cb06116a195","url":"https://onlylabs.fyi/signals/8985d414-e798-47ae-afa7-6cb06116a195","source_url":"https://www.anthropic.com/research/discovering-vulnerabilities-with-claude","title":"Discovering Vulnerabilities With Claude","context":null,"kind":{"key":"post_published","label":"Writing"},"org":{"slug":"anthropic","name":"Anthropic","category":"frontier-lab"},"occurred_at":"2026-10-27T18:15:30+00:00","first_seen_at":"2026-10-27T20:00:49.587113+00:00","date_source":"sitemap.lastmod"},{"id":"92d79ccc-0504-4499-a191-695c9e946dea","url":"https://onlylabs.fyi/signals/92d79ccc-0504-4499-a191-695c9e946dea","source_url":"https://www.anthropic.com/research/coding-agents-social-sciences","title":"Coding Agents Social Sciences","context":null,"kind":{"key":"post_published","label":"Writing"},"org":{"slug":"anthropic","name":"Anthropic","category":"frontier-lab"},"occurred_at":"2026-05-27T00:00:00.000Z","first_seen_at":"2026-06-09T02:17:26.339488+00:00","date_source":"page.visible_date"}]}